Risk
Risk Books
Product Description
Risk compensation postulates that everyone has a “risk thermostat” and that safety measures that do not affect the setting of the thermostat will be circumvented by behaviour that re-establishes the level of risk with which people were originally comfortable. It clarifies why, for example, motorists drive quicker after a bend in the road is straightened. Cultural theory clarifies risk-taking behaviour by the operation of cultural filters. It postulates that behaviour is governed by the probable expenditure and benefits of alternative courses of action which are perceived through filters formed from all the previous incidents and associations in the risk-taker’s life.; “Risk” should be of interest to many readers throughout the social sciences and in the world of industry, business, engineering, finance and broadcast administration, since it deals with a fundamental part of human behaviour that has enormous financial and economic implications.
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This book will make you reckon
Rating: 5 / 5
John Adams is clearly one of the leading thinkers not only regarding Risk Management, but also choice-making where risk is caught up. If you are expecting a book that limits itself to accident prevention and the buy of insurance, you will be dilightfully suprised to find that Adams provides universal frameworks that apply to the entire universe of risk. Nor is this merely an ivory tower philosophical romp. Adams applies his frameworks to everything from the value of infant car seats to global warming to “zero accident” policies in the workplace and does so with wit and empirical data. His conclusions are often very counterintuitive, but he provides the data to back up his conclusions, often with surprising consequences (for example, that mandatory infant car seats was correlated with an increase in infant deaths in auto accidents and that seat belt laws did not fall injuries in auto accidents).
The reader cannot help but benefit from Adam’s wisdom, and he will delight in the experience as well. The book is writen so well that I finished it with sadness; I was hoping that it would go on for at least another 100 pages. Having read scores of risk correlated articles and books, I can attest to the rarity of this feeling–I am ordinarily begging for the end at about page 10. It takes fantastic thoughts and a masterful pen to acheive this, and Adams has both in abundance. If you are in the risk or safety professions (or work in the political realm) this book is required reading.
Rating: 5 / 5
This book is a by product of a research project called “Risk and Prudence.”
It represents a combination of risk compensation and cultural theory. The former posits all human beings have a risk thermostat. The latter illuminates a world of plural rationalities; it seeks to clarify unresolved risks in terms of the differences in premises from which the participants argue.
It draws the following conclusions:
1. Everyone is administration risk.
2. Since we are dealing with risks, they are all guessing.
3. Their guesses are influenced by their beliefs.
4. Their behavior is influenced by their guesses.
5. Safety interventions do not influence risk propensities.
6. You will never capture “objective risk.”
This book is a gem. It is well-written, counterintuitive, jargon-free and amusing. It will challenge your assumptions on risk management.
Rating: 5 / 5
“Risk” by John Adams is one of those rare gems, a book which uncovers a nugget of truth about human behaviour, namely Risk Compensation Theory. Why do we take risks, especially on the roads, in cars, in perilous situations? Why do some people take more risks than others? Report has it that we have risk thermostats which we set to different levels of risk aversion. I saw the tv programme which covered this topic first and then I read the book by Mr. Adams. I was very impressed by the depth of research supporting his theories and by the graphs showing the different rates of fatalities for male/female drivers, for different countries or for different age groups. But I wonder: have we had too much analysis and not enough action at this stage? The trend of fatalities per 1,000 of the populace or per 1,000 vehicles on the roads may be appearance down in some countries but this is small consolation when the total number of deaths is staying steady or rising worldwide. 25 million have died already and perhaps another billion have been injured. It is time to try another approach.
“Autogeddon” by Heathcote Williams was a brilliant poetic diatribe on the havoc which cars can cause but it offered no solutions to the problem. “Risk” analyses in detail why we take the risks which cause this havoc, but equally offers no complete solutions. “The Joy of Motion” by John B. Gilmore goes a step further and offers a solution to the problems of transport which allows us to take risks and delight in the thrill of motion at the same time. If you wish to find out more about this book then please email me.
Rating: 5 / 5
This is an outstanding small book — very insightful and painstakingly enjoyable. I am a pediatrician who has been caught up with writing do guidelines to preclude a very low probability but devastating outcome (brain hurt following jaundice in newborns). The discussion of different types of people with different attitudes towards risk helped clarify some of the dynamics of the guideline committees I have been on. In fact, I liked the book so much I sent a copy to the head of the current group working on these guidelines.
I also like it when people question dogma, and top out ways in which our previous experience and perspectives influence the way we perceive reality. For example, the possibility that use of seat belts by drivers might budge some injuries from themselves to pedestrians and cyclists had never occurred to me.
I highly urge this book to anyone interested in risk.
Thomas B. Newman, MD, MPH
Professor of Epidemiology and Biostatistics and Pediatrics
University of California, San Francisco
Rating: 5 / 5